This section provides an overview of the number of people estimated to be living with heart failure locally, and how this compares to the national average. It also sets out how the number of people living with heart failure is expected to increase in the coming years. Prevalence figures are based on data from "Temporal trends and patterns in heart failure incidence: a population-based study of 4 million individuals" by Conrad et al. (2018). 1 Population data is sourced from Office for National Statistics mid-year population estimates. 2,3,4 Further detail on the data and calculations is available in the supporting ‘methodology’ tab.
This section provides an overview of the number of people estimated to be living with heart failure locally, and how this compares to the national average. It also sets out how the number of people living with heart failure is expected to increase in the coming years. Prevalence figures are based on data from “Temporal trends and patterns in heart failure incidence: a population-based study of 4 million individuals” by Conrad et al. (2018). 1Population data is sourced from Mid-2021 Population Estimates Scotland published by the National Records of Scotland.2 Further detail on the data and calculations is available in the supporting ‘methodology’ tab.
Local Heart Failure Prevalence (2020)(2021)
Number of people with heart failure in
Number of people with heart failure in , per 1,000 of local population
Change in Local Heart Failure Prevalence (2020)(2021)
Change in number of people with heart failure in , including projected increase, based on anticipated population growth and demographic changes. Percentages in this graph indicate the average percentage change in heart failure prevalence per annum within the periods set out on the x axis.
The solid line represents estimated prevalence based on actual population figures and the dotted line represents projected prevalence.
National Average Heart Failure Prevalence (2020)(2021)*
Number of people with heart failure in an average-sized ICS in England
Number of people with heart failure in Scotland
Number of people with heart failure in an average-sized ICS in England, per 1,000 of local population
Number of people with heart failure in Scotland, per 1,000 of local population
Change in Heart Failure Prevalence and Projection (2020)*
Change in the number of people with heart failure in an average-sized ICS in EnglandScotland, including projected increase, based on anticipated population growth and demographic changes. Percentages in this graph indicate the average percentage change in heart failure prevalence per annum within the periods set out on the x axis.
The solid line represents estimated prevalence based on actual population figures and the dotted line represents projected prevalence.
1 Conrad et al (2018). Temporal trends and patterns in heart failure incidence: a population-based study of 4 million individuals. The Lancet, Volume 391, Issue 10120:572-580.
2 Office for National Statistics. Mid-2002 to Mid-2010 Population Estimates for Clinical Commissioning Groups (CCGs) in England by Single Year of Age and Sex; based on the results of the 2011 Census.
3 Office for National Statistics. Mid-2020 Population Estimates for 2021 Clinical Commissioning Groups (CCGs) in England by Single Year of Age and Sex.
4 Office for National Statistics. Subnational population projections for England: 2018-based.
* For a definition of an 'average-sized ICS' in England, please refer to the population data section within the methodology.
local area, based on figures from the national population. A fraction lower than 100 suggests that there were fewer heart failure deaths in a local area than expected, when compared to the national average. A fraction higher than 100 suggests that there were more heart failure deaths in a local area, when compared to the national average.
1 Conrad et al. (2018), “Temporal trends and patterns in heart failure incidence: a population-based study of 4 million individuals”, The Lancet, Volume 391, Issue 10120: 572-580
2 National Records of Scotland. Mid-2021 Population Estimates Scotland. July 2022
This section provides an overview of the number of people admitted to hospital with heart failure locally, and how this compares to the national average. It also provides a more detailed breakdown of the type of admission (whether they were planned or emergency visits to hospital), the age bracket and gender of the individuals admitted and how many patients had a heart failure admission in the year. Admissions data is sourced from Hospital Episode Statistics (2016/17 - 2020/21). Further detail on the data and calculations is available in the supporting ‘methodology’ tab.
This section provides an overview of the number of people admitted to hospital with heart failure locally, and how this compares to the national average. It also provides a more detailed breakdown of the type of admission (whether they were planned, transferred or emergency visits to hospital), the age bracket and gender of the individuals admitted and how many patients had a heart failure admission in the year. Admissions data is sourced from Public Health Scotland’s ‘Scottish Heart Disease statistics’3. The hospital activity data that is collected by Public Health Scotland is episode rather than patient based. As a result, there may be instances where the same patient is counted twice such as an individual who is initially categorised as an emergency admission but is then transferred to a heart failure specialist. Further detail on the data and calculations is available in the supporting ‘methodology’ tab.3 This section includes a figure for the age-sex standardised hospital admissions rate, which takes account of the changes in age structure of the population being analysed.
Hospital Admissions due to Heart Failure in (2020/21)(2021/22)
Female/Male Hospital Admissions
Age Breakdown of Hospital Admissions due to Heart Failure in
Number of Patients with One or More Repeat Hospital Admissions Due to Heart Failure in
Age-sex standardised discharge rate per 100,000
Percentage Change in Number of Hospital Admissions in
The percentage indicates the percentage change in heart failure hospital admissions between 2016/17 and 2020/212017/18 and 2021/22.
Hospital Admissions due to Heart Failure in an average-sized ICS in England (2020/21)*Scotland (2021/22)
Female/Male Hospital Admissions
Age Breakdown of Hospital Admissions due to Heart Failure in Scotland
Age-sex standardised discharge rate per 100,000
Percentage Change in Number of Hospital Admissions in Scotland
The percentage indicates the percentage change in heart failure hospital admissions between 2017/18 and 2021/22.
Female/Male Hospital Admissions
Age Breakdown of Hospital Admissions due to Heart Failure in an average-sized ICS in England
Percentage Change in Number of Hospital Admissions in an average-sized CCG England
The percentage indicates the percentage change in heart failure hospital admissions between 2016/17 and 2020/21.
5NHS Digital. Hospital Episode Statistics (2020/21).
*Data for an 'average-sized ICS’ in England has been calculated by dividing the total number of hospital admissions at a national level by the number of ICSs, based on 2020 local health system geography. For a definition of an 'average-sized ICS' in England, please refer to the population data section within the methodology.
To protect the privacy and confidentiality of individuals, suppression has been applied to hospital admission data where figures are between 1 and 7. Where this is the case, ‘Data Suppressed’ will appear on the relevant hospital admission and cost data visuals.
local area, based on figures from the national population. A fraction lower than 100 suggests that there were fewer heart failure deaths in a local area than expected, when compared to the national average. A fraction higher than 100 suggests that there were more heart failure deaths in a local area, when compared to the national average.
3 Public Health Scotland. Scottish heart disease statistics: Hospital activity. January 2023
This section provides an overview of the cost of heart failure admissions within the local area. It sets out the proportion of costs that were attributable to planned and emergency heart failure admissions to hospital, as well as providing a breakdown of the costs from a gender and age perspective. Cost data is sourced from Hospital Episode Statistics (2020/21) and the National Tariff Payment System. 5,6 Further detail on the data and calculations is available in the supporting ‘methodology’ tab.
Cost of Hospital Admissions due to Heart Failure in (2020/21)
Female/Male Breakdown of Hospital Admission Costs due to Heart Failure
Age Breakdown of Hospital Admission Costs due to Heart Failure*
Cost of Hospital Admissions due to Heart Failure in an average-sized ICS in England (2020/21)**
Female/Male Breakdown of Hospital Admission Costs due to Heart Failure
Age Breakdown of Hospital Admission Costs due to Heart Failure*
5NHS Digital. Hospital Episode Statistics (2020/21).
6NHS England, National Tariff Payment System (2020/21).
*Please note that heart failure incidence and prevalence increase with age. Source: NICE. Chronic heart failure in adults: diagnosis and management. September 2018. Available online at: https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ng106.
**Data for an 'average-sized ICS’ in England has been calculated by dividing the total cost of hospital admissions at a national level by the number of ICSs, based on 2020 local health system geography. For a definition of an 'average-sized ICS' in England, please refer to the population data section within the methodology.
To protect the privacy and confidentiality of individuals, suppression has been applied to hospital admission data where figures are between 1 and 7. Where this is the case, ‘Data Suppressed’ will appear on the relevant hospital admission and cost data visuals.
local area, based on figures from the national population. A fraction lower than 100 suggests that there were fewer heart failure deaths in a local area than expected, when compared to the national average. A fraction higher than 100 suggests that there were more heart failure deaths in a local area, when compared to the national average.
This section provides an overview of heart failure incidence in local areas as well as at a national level. Heart failure incidence includes both new hospital cases and deaths. Incidence data is taken from the Public Health Scotland’s ‘Scottish Heart Disease Statistics’ (2017/18-2021/22).4 This section includes a figure for the age-sex standardised incidence rate, which takes account of the changes in age structure of the population being analysed. Further detail on the data and calculations is available in the supporting ‘methodology’ tab.
Heart Failure incidence in (2021/22)
Number of heart failure cases
Age-sex standardised incidence rate per 100,000
Age breakdown of heart failure incidence*
Heart Failure incidence in Scotland (2021/22)
Number of heart failure cases
Age-sex standardised incidence rate per 100,000
Age breakdown of heart failure incidence*
4 Public Health Scotland. Scottish heart disease statistics: Incidence. January 2023.
This section provides an overview of the number of deaths associated with heart failure, at both a local and national level. Mortality in heart failure patients is represented here by CCG Outcome Indicator "1.21 All-cause mortality - 12 months following a first emergency admission to hospital for heart failure in people aged 16 and over". This section also shows a supporting ‘indicator value’, which sets out the standardised mortality rate of ‘expected’ heart failure deaths in a local area, in comparison to the national average.* Data is sourced from the NHS Digital CCG Outcome Indicator Set (October 2020). 7 Further detail on the data and calculations is available in the supporting ‘methodology’ tab.
This section provides an overview of the number of deaths associated with heart failure, at both a local and national level. The data is taken from the Public Health Scotland’s ‘Scottish Heart Disease Statistics’ (2017-21).5 This section includes a figure for the age-sex standardised mortality rate, which takes account of the changes in age structure of the population being analysed. Further detail on the data and calculations is available in the supporting ‘methodology’ tab.
ALL-CAUSE MORTALITY IN HEART FAILURE PATIENTS
Number of all-cause deaths in the 12 months following first hospital attendance with primary diagnosis of heart failure (2016-19)
MORTALITY INDICATOR VALUE*
Standardised Mortality Rate Indicator Value
ALL-CAUSE MORTALITY IN HEART FAILURE PATIENTS
Number of all-cause deaths in the 12 months following first hospital attendance with primary diagnosis of heart failure (2016-19)
Heart failure mortality in (2021)
Number of deaths caused by heart failure
Age-sex standardised mortality rate per 100,000
Age breakdown of deaths due to heart failure
Heart failure mortality in Scotland (2021)
Number of deaths caused by heart failure
Age-sex standardised mortality rate per 100,000
Age breakdown of deaths due to heart failure
7 Mortality data has been sourced from the NHS Digital CCG OutcomeIndicator Set (October 2020). Full reference details are available in the methodology.
* The supporting ‘indicator value’ figure sets out the standardised mortality rate of 'expected' heart failure deaths in a local area. The expected number of deaths is not an actual count of patients, but is instead a statistical construct which estimates the number of deaths that may be expected in the local area, based on figures from the national population. A fraction lower than 100 suggests that there were fewer heart failure deaths in a local area than expected, when compared to the national average. A fraction higher than 100 suggests that there were more heart failure deaths in a local area, when compared to the national average.
local area, based on figures from the national population. A fraction lower than 100 suggests that there were fewer heart failure deaths in a local area than expected, when compared to the national average. A fraction higher than 100 suggests that there were more heart failure deaths in a local area, when compared to the national average.
* Public Health Scotland. Scottish heart disease statistics: Mortality. January 2023.
5 Public Health Scotland. Scottish heart disease statistics: Mortality. January 2023.
